Side-by-Side Comparison
Actuaries leads 5–0| Metric | Actuaries | Cost Estimators |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Score | 31.1% | 37.0% |
| Risk Tier | Medium Risk | Medium Risk |
| Risk Percentile | 44th | 72th |
| Tasks at Risk (>50%) | 4 / 15 | 8 / 14 |
| Median Salary | $125,770 | $77,070 |
| Employment | 28K | 220K |
Skill Comparison
|
Sorted by largest difference
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Economics and Accounting
Systems Evaluation
Analyzing Data or Information
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Problem Sensitivity
Complex Problem SolvingAI-Resistant
Processing Information
Judgment and Decision MakingAI-Augmented
Customer and Personal Service
Protective Factors
Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement
Actuaries
30%
total discount
Cost Estimators
29%
total discount
Task Risk Comparison
Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable
Actuaries
4 of 15 at risk75%Determine policy contract provisions for each type of insurance.
55%Design, review and help administer insurance, annuity and pension plans, determining financial soundness and calculating premiums.
53%Analyze statistical information to estimate mortality, accident, sickness, disability, and retirement rates.
51%Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information.
49%Provide expertise to help financial institutions manage risks and maximize returns associated with investment products or credit offerings.
Cost Estimators
8 of 14 at risk87%Prepare cost and expenditure statements and other necessary documentation at regular intervals for the duration of the project.
86%Collect historical cost data to estimate costs for current or future products.
84%Prepare estimates for use in selecting vendors or subcontractors.
66%Prepare and maintain a directory of suppliers, contractors and subcontractors.
55%Analyze blueprints and other documentation to prepare time, cost, materials, and labor estimates.
Wage Comparison
Cost Estimators earns -$48,700(-39%) vs Actuaries
ActuariesCost Estimators
10th
$75,240$46,330
25th
$90,970$59,830
Median
$125,770$77,070
75th
$164,860$99,630
90th
$206,430$128,640
Premium Head-to-Head Analysis
Displacement Timeline Comparison
Actuaries2028–2035
Cost Estimators2028–2035
20242030203520402045
Actuaries has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Cost Estimators.
Risk-Adjusted Salary
Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)
Actuaries
$86,718
from $125,770
Cost Estimators
$48,593
from $77,070
After adjusting for AI risk, Actuaries offers $38,126 more in risk-adjusted pay.
Transition Feasibility
1%
Skill Overlap
Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition
0
Unique to Actuaries
0
Unique to Cost
Combined Protection Strategy
Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
ActuariesCost Estimators