Takeover Tracker
31%medium risk
Actuaries
vs

49 shared · 19 different

core competencies

31%medium risk
Economists

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricActuariesEconomists
Risk Score31.1%31.1%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile44th45th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 152 / 13
Median Salary$125,770$115,440
Employment28K16K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Training and Teaching Others
Developing and Building Teams
Mathematical Reasoning
Number Facility
Systems Evaluation
Category Flexibility
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Administration and Management
Documenting/Recording Information
Information OrderingAI-Vulnerable
Written Expression

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Actuaries

30%

total discount

Economists

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Actuaries

4 of 15 at risk
75%Determine policy contract provisions for each type of insurance.
55%Design, review and help administer insurance, annuity and pension plans, determining financial soundness and calculating premiums.
53%Analyze statistical information to estimate mortality, accident, sickness, disability, and retirement rates.
51%Construct probability tables for events such as fires, natural disasters, and unemployment, based on analysis of statistical data and other pertinent information.
49%Provide expertise to help financial institutions manage risks and maximize returns associated with investment products or credit offerings.

Economists

2 of 13 at risk
53%Forecast production and consumption of renewable resources and supply, consumption, and depletion of non-renewable resources.
51%Formulate recommendations, policies, or plans to solve economic problems or to interpret markets.
50%Compile, analyze, and report data to explain economic phenomena and forecast market trends, applying mathematical models and statistical techniques.
49%Study the socioeconomic impacts of new public policies, such as proposed legislation, taxes, services, and regulations.
49%Conduct research on economic issues and disseminate research findings through technical reports or scientific articles in journals.

Wage Comparison

Economists earns -$10,330(-8%) vs Actuaries
ActuariesEconomists
10th
$75,240$62,340
25th
$90,970$82,260
Median
$125,770$115,440
75th
$164,860$166,030
90th
$206,430$212,710

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Actuaries20282035
Economists20282035
20242030203520402045

Actuaries has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Economists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Actuaries

$86,718

from $125,770

Economists

$79,527

from $115,440

After adjusting for AI risk, Actuaries offers $7,192 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Actuaries

0

Unique to Economists

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
ActuariesEconomists