Takeover Tracker
25%low risk
Adapted Physical Education Specialists
vs

65 shared · 19 different

core competencies

25%medium risk
Music Therapists

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricAdapted Physical Education SpecialistsMusic Therapists
Risk Score24.8%25.5%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile19th21th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$67,430$60,280
Employment39K15K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Therapy and Counseling
Performing General Physical Activities
Education and Training
Customer and Personal Service
Psychology
Training and Teaching Others
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Law and Government
Hearing Sensitivity
Assisting and Caring for Others
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Developing Objectives and Strategies

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Adapted Physical Education Specialists

38%

total discount

Music Therapists

38%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Adapted Physical Education Specialists

5 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain thorough student records to document attendance, participation, or progress, ensuring confidentiality of all records.
69%Write reports to summarize student performance, social growth, or physical development.
57%Prepare lesson plans in accordance with individualized education plans (IEPs) and the functional abilities or needs of students.
55%Write or modify individualized education plans (IEPs) for students with intellectual or physical disabilities.
51%Assist in screening or placement of students in adapted physical education programs.

Music Therapists

5 of 15 at risk
86%Document evaluations, treatment plans, case summaries, or progress or other reports related to individual clients or client groups.
74%Observe and document client reactions, progress, or other outcomes related to music therapy.
51%Design music therapy experiences, using various musical elements to meet client's goals or objectives.
51%Plan or structure music therapy sessions to achieve appropriate transitions, pacing, sequencing, energy level, or intensity in accordance with treatment plans.
51%Integrate behavioral, developmental, improvisational, medical, or neurological approaches into music therapy treatments.

Wage Comparison

Music Therapists earns -$7,150(-11%) vs Adapted Physical Education Specialists
Adapted Physical Education SpecialistsMusic Therapists
10th
$43,220$39,520
25th
$53,470$48,230
Median
$67,430$60,280
75th
$87,890$77,680
90th
$109,360$96,600

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Adapted Physical Education Specialists2028–2035
Music Therapists2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Adapted Physical Education Specialists has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Music Therapists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Adapted Physical Education Specialists

$50,687

from $67,430

Music Therapists

$44,915

from $60,280

After adjusting for AI risk, Adapted Physical Education Specialists offers $5,773 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Adapted

0

Unique to Music

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Adapted Physical Education SpecialistsMusic Therapists
Find transitions from Adapted Physical Education SpecialistsFind transitions from Music Therapists