Takeover Tracker
25%low risk
Adapted Physical Education Specialists
vs

57 shared · 23 different

core competencies

32%medium risk
Vocational Education Teachers, Postsecondary

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricAdapted Physical Education SpecialistsVocational Education Teachers, Postsecondary
Risk Score24.8%31.7%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile19th49th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$67,430$61,490
Employment39K111K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing General Physical Activities
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Psychology
Customer and Personal Service
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Law and Government
Analyzing Data or Information
Assisting and Caring for Others
Sociology and Anthropology
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Social PerceptivenessAI-Resistant

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Adapted Physical Education Specialists

38%

total discount

Vocational Education Teachers, Postsecondary

32%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Adapted Physical Education Specialists

5 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain thorough student records to document attendance, participation, or progress, ensuring confidentiality of all records.
69%Write reports to summarize student performance, social growth, or physical development.
57%Prepare lesson plans in accordance with individualized education plans (IEPs) and the functional abilities or needs of students.
55%Write or modify individualized education plans (IEPs) for students with intellectual or physical disabilities.
51%Assist in screening or placement of students in adapted physical education programs.

Vocational Education Teachers, Postsecondary

6 of 15 at risk
86%Prepare reports and maintain records, such as student grades, attendance rolls, and training activity details.
84%Prepare outlines of instructional programs and training schedules and establish course goals.
78%Administer oral, written, or performance tests to measure progress and to evaluate training effectiveness.
72%Select and assemble books, materials, supplies, and equipment for training, courses, or projects.
54%Develop curricula and plan course content and methods of instruction.

Wage Comparison

Vocational Education Teachers, Postsecondary earns -$5,940(-9%) vs Adapted Physical Education Specialists
Adapted Physical Education SpecialistsVocational Education Teachers, Postsecondary
10th
$43,220$38,680
25th
$53,470$48,030
Median
$67,430$61,490
75th
$87,890$80,070
90th
$109,360$106,580

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Adapted Physical Education Specialists2028–2035
Vocational Education Teachers, Postsecondary2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Adapted Physical Education Specialists has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Vocational Education Teachers, Postsecondary.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Adapted Physical Education Specialists

$50,687

from $67,430

Vocational Education Teachers, Postsecondary

$42,028

from $61,490

After adjusting for AI risk, Adapted Physical Education Specialists offers $8,659 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Adapted

0

Unique to Vocational

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Adapted Physical Education SpecialistsVocational Education Teachers, Postsecondary
Find transitions from Adapted Physical Education SpecialistsFind transitions from Vocational Education Teachers, Postsecondary