Takeover Tracker
30%medium risk
Aerospace Engineers
vs

59 shared · 26 different

core competencies

28%medium risk
Petroleum Engineers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricAerospace EngineersPetroleum Engineers
Risk Score30.3%28.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile40th31th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$134,830$141,280
Employment68K19K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Design
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Chemistry
Thinking Creatively
Science
Interacting With Computers
Administration and Management
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Technology DesignAI-Augmented
Production and Processing

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Aerospace Engineers

31%

total discount

Petroleum Engineers

31%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Aerospace Engineers

3 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain records of performance reports for future reference.
71%Write technical reports or other documentation, such as handbooks or bulletins, for use by engineering staff, management, or customers.
51%Evaluate product data or design from inspections or reports for conformance to engineering principles, customer requirements, environmental regulations, or quality standards.
49%Develop software for aerospace systems.
49%Evaluate biofuel performance specifications to determine feasibility for aerospace applications.

Petroleum Engineers

5 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain records of drilling and production operations.
86%Write technical reports for engineering and management personnel.
51%Analyze data to recommend placement of wells and supplementary processes to enhance production.
51%Monitor production rates, and plan rework processes to improve production.
51%Simulate reservoir performance for different recovery techniques, using computer models.

Wage Comparison

Petroleum Engineers earns +$6,450(+5%) vs Aerospace Engineers
Aerospace EngineersPetroleum Engineers
10th
$85,350$78,840
25th
$104,740$107,330
Median
$134,830$141,280
75th
$174,480$191,100
90th
$205,850$228,790

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Aerospace Engineers2028–2035
Petroleum Engineers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Petroleum Engineers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Aerospace Engineers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Aerospace Engineers

$93,963

from $134,830

Petroleum Engineers

$101,312

from $141,280

After adjusting for AI risk, Petroleum Engineers offers $7,349 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Aerospace

0

Unique to Petroleum

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Aerospace EngineersPetroleum Engineers
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