Takeover Tracker
33%medium risk
Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers
vs

49 shared · 20 different

core competencies

37%medium risk
Machinists

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricAircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems AssemblersMachinists
Risk Score33.1%36.8%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile57th71th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 159 / 15
Median Salary$61,680$56,150
Employment33K299K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Documenting/Recording Information
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Education and Training
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Mechanical
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Rate Control
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Training and Teaching Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers

29%

total discount

Machinists

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers

6 of 15 at risk
84%Layout and mark reference points and locations for installation of parts or components, using jigs, templates, or measuring and marking instruments.
78%Inspect or test installed units, parts, systems, or assemblies for fit, alignment, performance, defects, or compliance with standards, using measuring instruments or test equipment.
62%Read blueprints, illustrations, or specifications to determine layouts, sequences of operations, or identities or relationships of parts.
61%Fabricate parts needed for assembly or installation, using shop machinery or equipment.
51%Join structural assemblies, such as wings, tails, or fuselage.

Machinists

9 of 15 at risk
86%Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.
84%Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.
70%Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments such as micrometers or vernier calipers.
63%Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.
57%Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

Wage Comparison

Machinists earns -$5,530(-9%) vs Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers
Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems AssemblersMachinists
10th
$46,040$38,100
25th
$53,180$46,250
Median
$61,680$56,150
75th
$75,240$64,910
90th
$94,950$78,760

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers2028–2035
Machinists2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Machinists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers

$41,258

from $61,680

Machinists

$35,492

from $56,150

After adjusting for AI risk, Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers offers $5,765 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Aircraft

0

Unique to Machinists

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems AssemblersMachinists
Find transitions from Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems AssemblersFind transitions from Machinists