Takeover Tracker
30%medium risk
Architectural and Engineering Managers
vs

61 shared · 27 different

core competencies

37%medium risk
Cost Estimators

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricArchitectural and Engineering ManagersCost Estimators
Risk Score29.7%37.0%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile37th72th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 158 / 14
Median Salary$167,740$77,070
Employment210K220K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Design
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Engineering and Technology
Physics
Visualization
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Problem Sensitivity
Public Safety and Security
Building and Construction
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Originality
Customer and Personal Service

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Architectural and Engineering Managers

34%

total discount

Cost Estimators

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Architectural and Engineering Managers

3 of 15 at risk
84%Perform administrative functions, such as reviewing or writing reports, approving expenditures, enforcing rules, or purchasing of materials or services.
54%Assess project feasibility by analyzing technology, resource needs, or market demand.
52%Review, recommend, or approve contracts or cost estimates.
50%Prepare budgets, bids, or contracts.
49%Develop or implement policies, standards, or procedures for engineering and technical work.

Cost Estimators

8 of 14 at risk
87%Prepare cost and expenditure statements and other necessary documentation at regular intervals for the duration of the project.
86%Collect historical cost data to estimate costs for current or future products.
84%Prepare estimates for use in selecting vendors or subcontractors.
66%Prepare and maintain a directory of suppliers, contractors and subcontractors.
55%Analyze blueprints and other documentation to prepare time, cost, materials, and labor estimates.

Wage Comparison

Cost Estimators earns -$90,670(-54%) vs Architectural and Engineering Managers
Architectural and Engineering ManagersCost Estimators
10th
$111,450$46,330
25th
$134,930$59,830
Median
$167,740$77,070
75th
$207,210$99,630
90th
$239,200$128,640

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Architectural and Engineering Managers2028–2035
Cost Estimators2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Architectural and Engineering Managers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Cost Estimators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Architectural and Engineering Managers

$117,904

from $167,740

Cost Estimators

$48,593

from $77,070

After adjusting for AI risk, Architectural and Engineering Managers offers $69,312 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Architectural

0

Unique to Cost

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Architectural and Engineering ManagersCost Estimators
Find transitions from Architectural and Engineering ManagersFind transitions from Cost Estimators