Takeover Tracker
30%medium risk
Architectural and Engineering Managers
vs

71 shared · 19 different

core competencies

28%medium risk
Petroleum Engineers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricArchitectural and Engineering ManagersPetroleum Engineers
Risk Score29.7%28.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile37th31th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$167,740$141,280
Employment210K19K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Design
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Production and Processing
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Science
Coaching and Developing Others
Training and Teaching Others
Personnel and Human Resources

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Architectural and Engineering Managers

34%

total discount

Petroleum Engineers

31%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Architectural and Engineering Managers

3 of 15 at risk
84%Perform administrative functions, such as reviewing or writing reports, approving expenditures, enforcing rules, or purchasing of materials or services.
54%Assess project feasibility by analyzing technology, resource needs, or market demand.
52%Review, recommend, or approve contracts or cost estimates.
50%Prepare budgets, bids, or contracts.
49%Develop or implement policies, standards, or procedures for engineering and technical work.

Petroleum Engineers

5 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain records of drilling and production operations.
86%Write technical reports for engineering and management personnel.
51%Analyze data to recommend placement of wells and supplementary processes to enhance production.
51%Monitor production rates, and plan rework processes to improve production.
51%Simulate reservoir performance for different recovery techniques, using computer models.

Wage Comparison

Petroleum Engineers earns -$26,460(-16%) vs Architectural and Engineering Managers
Architectural and Engineering ManagersPetroleum Engineers
10th
$111,450$78,840
25th
$134,930$107,330
Median
$167,740$141,280
75th
$207,210$191,100
90th
$239,200$228,790

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Architectural and Engineering Managers2028–2035
Petroleum Engineers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Petroleum Engineers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Architectural and Engineering Managers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Architectural and Engineering Managers

$117,904

from $167,740

Petroleum Engineers

$101,312

from $141,280

After adjusting for AI risk, Architectural and Engineering Managers offers $16,593 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Architectural

0

Unique to Petroleum

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Architectural and Engineering ManagersPetroleum Engineers
Find transitions from Architectural and Engineering ManagersFind transitions from Petroleum Engineers