Takeover Tracker
9%low risk
Athletes and Sports Competitors
vs

45 shared · 37 different

core competencies

22%low risk
Painters, Construction and Maintenance

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricAthletes and Sports CompetitorsPainters, Construction and Maintenance
Risk Score9.2%21.9%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile0th11th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)1 / 93 / 15
Median Salary$62,360$48,660
Employment14K224K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Analyzing Data or Information
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Processing Information
Personnel and Human Resources
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Dynamic Strength
Getting Information
Stamina
Coaching and Developing Others
Communications and Media
Developing and Building Teams

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Athletes and Sports Competitors

32%

total discount

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Athletes and Sports Competitors

1 of 9 at risk
53%Assess performance following athletic competition, identifying strengths and weaknesses and making adjustments to improve future performance.
37%Maintain equipment used in a particular sport.
17%Represent teams or professional sports clubs, performing such activities as meeting with members of the media, making speeches, or participating in charity events.
15%Receive instructions from coaches or other sports staff prior to events and discuss performance afterwards.
15%Lead teams by serving as captain.

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

3 of 15 at risk
86%Read work orders or receive instructions from supervisors or homeowners to determine work requirements.
74%Calculate amounts of required materials and estimate costs, based on surface measurements or work orders.
51%Mix and match colors of paint, stain, or varnish with oil or thinning and drying additives to obtain desired colors and consistencies.
49%Smooth surfaces, using sandpaper, scrapers, brushes, steel wool, or sanding machines.
49%Wash and treat surfaces with oil, turpentine, mildew remover, or other preparations, and sand rough spots to ensure that finishes will adhere properly.

Wage Comparison

Painters, Construction and Maintenance earns -$13,700(-22%) vs Athletes and Sports Competitors
Athletes and Sports CompetitorsPainters, Construction and Maintenance
10th
$24,960$36,680
25th
$36,750$42,510
Median
$62,360$48,660
75th
$130,770$60,270
90th
$239,200$76,550

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Athletes and Sports Competitors2028–2035
Painters, Construction and Maintenance2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Athletes and Sports Competitors has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Painters, Construction and Maintenance.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Athletes and Sports Competitors

$56,623

from $62,360

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

$38,028

from $48,660

After adjusting for AI risk, Athletes and Sports Competitors offers $18,595 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Athletes

0

Unique to Painters,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Athletes and Sports CompetitorsPainters, Construction and Maintenance
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