Takeover Tracker
29%medium risk
Baggage Porters and Bellhops
vs

49 shared · 16 different

core competencies

32%medium risk
Tire Repairers and Changers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricBaggage Porters and BellhopsTire Repairers and Changers
Risk Score29.0%32.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile34th52th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 152 / 15
Median Salary$36,020$37,120
Employment31K107K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Assisting and Caring for Others
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Customer and Personal Service
Handling and Moving Objects
Scheduling Work and Activities
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Developing and Building Teams
Documenting/Recording Information
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Oral Expression

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Baggage Porters and Bellhops

28%

total discount

Tire Repairers and Changers

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Baggage Porters and Bellhops

7 of 15 at risk
89%Compute and complete charge slips for services rendered and maintain records.
75%Receive and mark baggage by completing and attaching claim checks.
69%Inspect guests' rooms to ensure that they are adequately stocked, orderly, and comfortable.
61%Deliver messages and room service orders, and run errands for guests.
57%Maintain clean lobbies or entrance areas for travelers or guests.

Tire Repairers and Changers

2 of 15 at risk
70%Identify tire size and ply and inflate tires accordingly.
59%Inspect tire casings for defects, such as holes or tears.
47%Clean and tidy up the shop.
45%Place wheels on balancing machines to determine counterweights required to balance wheels.
45%Reassemble tires onto wheels.

Wage Comparison

Tire Repairers and Changers earns +$1,100(+3%) vs Baggage Porters and Bellhops
Baggage Porters and BellhopsTire Repairers and Changers
10th
$25,480$29,880
25th
$29,830$33,990
Median
$36,020$37,120
75th
$40,780$43,810
90th
$48,490$48,900

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Baggage Porters and Bellhops2028–2035
Tire Repairers and Changers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Baggage Porters and Bellhops has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Tire Repairers and Changers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Baggage Porters and Bellhops

$25,560

from $36,020

Tire Repairers and Changers

$25,138

from $37,120

After adjusting for AI risk, Baggage Porters and Bellhops offers $422 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Baggage

0

Unique to Tire

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Baggage Porters and BellhopsTire Repairers and Changers
Find transitions from Baggage Porters and BellhopsFind transitions from Tire Repairers and Changers