Side-by-Side Comparison
Cooks, Short Order leads 4–1| Metric | Bakers | Cooks, Short Order |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Score | 36.6% | 33.8% |
| Risk Tier | Medium Risk | Medium Risk |
| Risk Percentile | 71th | 61th |
| Tasks at Risk (>50%) | 8 / 15 | 5 / 11 |
| Median Salary | $36,650 | $35,620 |
| Employment | 232K | 150K |
Skill Comparison
|
Sorted by largest difference
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Processing Information
Handling and Moving Objects
Production and Processing
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Developing and Building Teams
Food Production
Protective Factors
Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement
Bakers
25%
total discount
Cooks, Short Order
27%
total discount
Task Risk Comparison
Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable
Bakers
8 of 15 at risk85%Direct or coordinate bakery deliveries.
73%Adapt the quantity of ingredients to match the amount of items to be baked.
65%Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.
63%Operate slicing or wrapping machines.
61%Check products for quality and identify damaged or expired goods.
Cooks, Short Order
5 of 11 at risk88%Accept payments, and make change or write charge slips as necessary.
75%Order supplies and stock them on shelves.
74%Plan work on orders so that items served together are finished at the same time.
53%Complete orders from steam tables, placing food on plates and serving customers at tables or counters.
51%Perform food preparation tasks, such as making sandwiches, carving meats, making soups or salads, baking breads or desserts, and brewing coffee or tea.
Wage Comparison
Cooks, Short Order earns -$1,030(-3%) vs Bakers
BakersCooks, Short Order
10th
$27,560$23,770
25th
$31,470$30,160
Median
$36,650$35,620
75th
$42,570$39,990
90th
$48,260$46,010
Premium Head-to-Head Analysis
Displacement Timeline Comparison
Bakers2028–2035
Cooks, Short Order2028–2035
20242030203520402045
Cooks, Short Order has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Bakers.
Risk-Adjusted Salary
Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)
Bakers
$23,225
from $36,650
Cooks, Short Order
$23,584
from $35,620
After adjusting for AI risk, Cooks, Short Order offers $359 more in risk-adjusted pay.
Transition Feasibility
1%
Skill Overlap
Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition
0
Unique to Bakers
0
Unique to Cooks,
Combined Protection Strategy
Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
BakersCooks, Short Order