Takeover Tracker
37%medium risk
Bakers
vs

34 shared · 8 different

core competencies

43%medium risk
Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricBakersPainting, Coating, and Decorating Workers
Risk Score36.6%42.5%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile71th86th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 157 / 13
Median Salary$36,650$40,860
Employment232K8K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Customer and Personal Service
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Handling and Moving Objects
Controlling Machines and Processes
Active LearningAI-Augmented
Performing General Physical Activities
Design
Arm-Hand Steadiness

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Bakers

25%

total discount

Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers

24%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Bakers

8 of 15 at risk
85%Direct or coordinate bakery deliveries.
73%Adapt the quantity of ingredients to match the amount of items to be baked.
65%Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.
63%Operate slicing or wrapping machines.
61%Check products for quality and identify damaged or expired goods.

Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers

7 of 13 at risk
84%Read job orders and inspect workpieces to determine work procedures and materials required.
63%Apply coatings, such as paint, ink, or lacquer, to protect or decorate workpiece surfaces, using spray guns, pens, or brushes.
59%Melt or heat coating materials to specified temperatures.
59%Immerse workpieces into coating materials for specified times.
57%Examine finished surfaces of workpieces to verify conformance to specifications and retouch any defective areas.

Wage Comparison

Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers earns +$4,210(+11%) vs Bakers
BakersPainting, Coating, and Decorating Workers
10th
$27,560$28,490
25th
$31,470$34,540
Median
$36,650$40,860
75th
$42,570$50,700
90th
$48,260$62,770

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Bakers2028–2035
Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Bakers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Bakers

$23,225

from $36,650

Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers

$23,482

from $40,860

After adjusting for AI risk, Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers offers $257 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Bakers

0

Unique to Painting,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
BakersPainting, Coating, and Decorating Workers
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