Takeover Tracker
37%medium risk
Bakers
vs

32 shared · 7 different

core competencies

26%medium risk
Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricBakersShoe and Leather Workers and Repairers
Risk Score36.6%26.4%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile71th23th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$36,650$35,950
Employment232K8K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Production and Processing
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Active LearningAI-Augmented
Customer and Personal Service
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Making Decisions and Solving Problems

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Bakers

25%

total discount

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers

20%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Bakers

8 of 15 at risk
85%Direct or coordinate bakery deliveries.
73%Adapt the quantity of ingredients to match the amount of items to be baked.
65%Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.
63%Operate slicing or wrapping machines.
61%Check products for quality and identify damaged or expired goods.

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers

3 of 15 at risk
86%Estimate the costs of requested products or services such as custom footwear or footwear repair, and receive payment from customers.
57%Cut out parts, following patterns or outlines, using knives, shears, scissors, or machine presses.
51%Align and stitch or glue materials such as fabric, fleece, leather, or wood, to join parts.
49%Place shoes on lasts to remove soles and heels, using knives or pliers.
49%Clean and polish shoes.

Wage Comparison

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers earns -$700(-2%) vs Bakers
BakersShoe and Leather Workers and Repairers
10th
$27,560$25,170
25th
$31,470$29,400
Median
$36,650$35,950
75th
$42,570$41,400
90th
$48,260$48,090

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Bakers2028–2035
Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Bakers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Bakers

$23,225

from $36,650

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers

$26,445

from $35,950

After adjusting for AI risk, Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers offers $3,220 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Bakers

0

Unique to Shoe

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
BakersShoe and Leather Workers and Repairers
Find transitions from BakersFind transitions from Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers