Takeover Tracker
34%medium risk
Bartenders
vs

53 shared · 15 different

core competencies

34%medium risk
Cooks, Short Order

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricBartendersCooks, Short Order
Risk Score34.3%33.8%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile63th61th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 155 / 11
Median Salary$33,530$35,620
Employment746K150K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Customer and Personal Service
Production and Processing
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Oral Expression
Food Production
English Language
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Education and Training
Sales and Marketing
Training and Teaching Others
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Bartenders

30%

total discount

Cooks, Short Order

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Bartenders

5 of 15 at risk
88%Balance cash receipts.
87%Collect money for drinks served.
86%Order or requisition liquors and supplies.
79%Check identification of customers to verify age requirements for purchase of alcohol.
53%Serve wine, and bottled or draft beer.

Cooks, Short Order

5 of 11 at risk
88%Accept payments, and make change or write charge slips as necessary.
75%Order supplies and stock them on shelves.
74%Plan work on orders so that items served together are finished at the same time.
53%Complete orders from steam tables, placing food on plates and serving customers at tables or counters.
51%Perform food preparation tasks, such as making sandwiches, carving meats, making soups or salads, baking breads or desserts, and brewing coffee or tea.

Wage Comparison

Cooks, Short Order earns +$2,090(+6%) vs Bartenders
BartendersCooks, Short Order
10th
$19,930$23,770
25th
$25,790$30,160
Median
$33,530$35,620
75th
$46,790$39,990
90th
$71,920$46,010

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Bartenders20282035
Cooks, Short Order20282035
20242030203520402045

Cooks, Short Order has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Bartenders.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Bartenders

$22,039

from $33,530

Cooks, Short Order

$23,584

from $35,620

After adjusting for AI risk, Cooks, Short Order offers $1,545 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Bartenders

0

Unique to Cooks,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
BartendersCooks, Short Order