Takeover Tracker
19%low risk
Bicycle Repairers
vs

59 shared · 20 different

core competencies

17%low risk
Home Appliance Repairers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricBicycle RepairersHome Appliance Repairers
Risk Score19.2%17.0%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile5th2th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$40,360$49,410
Employment13K32K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Selling or Influencing Others
Assisting and Caring for Others
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Mechanical
Controlling Machines and Processes
Computers and Electronics
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Design
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Bicycle Repairers

31%

total discount

Home Appliance Repairers

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Bicycle Repairers

2 of 15 at risk
86%Order bicycle parts.
80%Estimate costs of repairing bicycles and write service tickets.
43%Clean and lubricate bicycle parts.
41%Assemble new bicycles.
41%Install new tires and tubes.

Home Appliance Repairers

4 of 15 at risk
88%Bill customers for repair work, and collect payment.
86%Record maintenance and repair work performed on appliances.
55%Provide repair cost estimates, and recommend whether appliance repair or replacement is a better choice.
51%Refer to schematic drawings, product manuals, and troubleshooting guides to diagnose and repair problems.
45%Conserve, recover, and recycle refrigerants used in cooling systems.

Wage Comparison

Home Appliance Repairers earns +$9,050(+22%) vs Bicycle Repairers
Bicycle RepairersHome Appliance Repairers
10th
$30,640$33,280
25th
$35,880$40,280
Median
$40,360$49,410
75th
$47,560$61,750
90th
$52,130$77,800

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Bicycle Repairers2028–2035
Home Appliance Repairers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Home Appliance Repairers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Bicycle Repairers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Bicycle Repairers

$32,603

from $40,360

Home Appliance Repairers

$41,015

from $49,410

After adjusting for AI risk, Home Appliance Repairers offers $8,412 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Bicycle

0

Unique to Home

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Bicycle RepairersHome Appliance Repairers
Find transitions from Bicycle RepairersFind transitions from Home Appliance Repairers