Takeover Tracker
vs

63 shared · 19 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricBicycle RepairersRecreational Vehicle Service Technicians
Risk Score19.2%17.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile5th4th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 152 / 15
Median Salary$40,360$50,540
Employment13K19K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Selling or Influencing Others
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Sales and Marketing
Mechanical
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
English Language
Assisting and Caring for Others
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Extent Flexibility
Engineering and Technology
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Bicycle Repairers

31%

total discount

Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Bicycle Repairers

2 of 15 at risk
86%Order bicycle parts.
80%Estimate costs of repairing bicycles and write service tickets.
43%Clean and lubricate bicycle parts.
41%Assemble new bicycles.
41%Install new tires and tubes.

Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians

2 of 15 at risk
86%List parts needed, estimate costs, and plan work procedures, using parts lists, technical manuals, or diagrams.
53%Confer with customers, read work orders, or examine vehicles needing repair to determine the nature and extent of damage.
47%Connect electrical systems to outside power sources and activate switches to test the operation of appliances or light fixtures.
47%Connect water hoses to inlet pipes of plumbing systems and test operation of toilets or sinks.
39%Examine or test operation of parts or systems to ensure completeness of repairs.

Wage Comparison

Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians earns +$10,180(+25%) vs Bicycle Repairers
Bicycle RepairersRecreational Vehicle Service Technicians
10th
$30,640$35,480
25th
$35,880$43,370
Median
$40,360$50,540
75th
$47,560$63,300
90th
$52,130$76,650

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Bicycle Repairers20282035
Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians20282035
20242030203520402045

Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Bicycle Repairers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Bicycle Repairers

$32,603

from $40,360

Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians

$41,529

from $50,540

After adjusting for AI risk, Recreational Vehicle Service Technicians offers $8,926 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Bicycle

0

Unique to Recreational

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Bicycle RepairersRecreational Vehicle Service Technicians