Bicycle Repairers vs Tire Repairers and Changers AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

low risk

Bicycle Repairers

40 shared · 34 different

core competencies

medium risk

Tire Repairers and Changers

Side-by-Side Comparison

Bicycle Repairers leads 4–0

Metric	Bicycle Repairers	Tire Repairers and Changers
Risk Score	19.2%	32.3%
Risk Tier	Low Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	5th	52th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	2 / 15	2 / 15
Median Salary	$40,360	$37,120
Employment	13K	107K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Mechanical

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment

Selling or Influencing Others

Assisting and Caring for Others

Visualization

Scheduling Work and Activities

Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work

Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment

Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Engineering and Technology

Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Bicycle Repairers

31%

total discount

Tire Repairers and Changers

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Bicycle Repairers

2 of 15 at risk

86%Order bicycle parts.

80%Estimate costs of repairing bicycles and write service tickets.

43%Clean and lubricate bicycle parts.

41%Assemble new bicycles.

41%Install new tires and tubes.

Tire Repairers and Changers

2 of 15 at risk

70%Identify tire size and ply and inflate tires accordingly.

59%Inspect tire casings for defects, such as holes or tears.

47%Clean and tidy up the shop.

45%Place wheels on balancing machines to determine counterweights required to balance wheels.

45%Reassemble tires onto wheels.

Wage Comparison

Tire Repairers and Changers earns -$3,240(-8%) vs Bicycle Repairers

Bicycle RepairersTire Repairers and Changers

10th

$30,640$29,880

25th

$35,880$33,990

Median

$40,360$37,120

75th

$47,560$43,810

90th

$52,130$48,900

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Bicycle Repairers2028–2035

Tire Repairers and Changers2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Bicycle Repairers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Tire Repairers and Changers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Bicycle Repairers

$32,603

from $40,360

Tire Repairers and Changers

$25,138

from $37,120

After adjusting for AI risk, Bicycle Repairers offers $7,465 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Bicycle

Unique to Tire

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence

Fine Manipulation

Creativity

Regulatory Barriers

Bicycle RepairersTire Repairers and Changers

Find transitions from Bicycle Repairers Find transitions from Tire Repairers and Changers