Takeover Tracker
16%low risk
Boilermakers
vs

63 shared · 21 different

core competencies

22%low risk
Pipelayers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricBoilermakersPipelayers
Risk Score16.1%21.6%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile2th10th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 153 / 14
Median Salary$73,340$48,710
Employment10K34K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Developing Objectives and Strategies
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Design
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Production and Processing
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Scheduling Work and Activities
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Developing and Building Teams

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Boilermakers

30%

total discount

Pipelayers

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Boilermakers

3 of 15 at risk
55%Study blueprints to determine locations, relationships, or dimensions of parts.
51%Examine boilers, pressure vessels, tanks, or vats to locate defects, such as leaks, weak spots, or defective sections, so that they can be repaired.
51%Inspect assembled vessels or individual components, such as tubes, fittings, valves, controls, or auxiliary mechanisms, to locate any defects.
43%Lay out plate, sheet steel, or other heavy metal and locate and mark bending and cutting lines, using protractors, compasses, and drawing instruments or templates.
39%Locate and mark reference points for columns or plates on boiler foundations, following blueprints and using straightedges, squares, transits, or measuring instruments.

Pipelayers

3 of 14 at risk
84%Lay out pipe routes, following written instructions or blueprints and coordinating layouts with supervisors.
74%Check slopes for conformance to requirements, using levels or lasers.
74%Locate existing pipes needing repair or replacement, using magnetic or radio indicators.
49%Cover pipes with earth or other materials.
49%Dig trenches to desired or required depths, by hand or using trenching tools.

Wage Comparison

Pipelayers earns -$24,630(-34%) vs Boilermakers
BoilermakersPipelayers
10th
$48,390$36,840
25th
$62,230$42,320
Median
$73,340$48,710
75th
$93,520$60,980
90th
$107,600$80,710

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Boilermakers20282035
Pipelayers20282035
20242030203520402045

Boilermakers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Pipelayers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Boilermakers

$61,554

from $73,340

Pipelayers

$38,189

from $48,710

After adjusting for AI risk, Boilermakers offers $23,366 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Boilermakers

0

Unique to Pipelayers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
BoilermakersPipelayers