Takeover Tracker
16%low risk
Boilermakers
vs

68 shared · 17 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricBoilermakersSheet Metal Workers
Risk Score16.1%24.2%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile2th17th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 157 / 15
Median Salary$73,340$60,850
Employment10K117K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Handling and Moving Objects
Controlling Machines and Processes
Design
Operation Monitoring
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Making Decisions and Solving Problems

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Boilermakers

30%

total discount

Sheet Metal Workers

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Boilermakers

3 of 15 at risk
55%Study blueprints to determine locations, relationships, or dimensions of parts.
51%Examine boilers, pressure vessels, tanks, or vats to locate defects, such as leaks, weak spots, or defective sections, so that they can be repaired.
51%Inspect assembled vessels or individual components, such as tubes, fittings, valves, controls, or auxiliary mechanisms, to locate any defects.
43%Lay out plate, sheet steel, or other heavy metal and locate and mark bending and cutting lines, using protractors, compasses, and drawing instruments or templates.
39%Locate and mark reference points for columns or plates on boiler foundations, following blueprints and using straightedges, squares, transits, or measuring instruments.

Sheet Metal Workers

7 of 15 at risk
86%Develop or lay out patterns, using computerized metalworking equipment.
86%Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).
85%Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.
84%Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.
63%Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

Wage Comparison

Sheet Metal Workers earns -$12,490(-17%) vs Boilermakers
BoilermakersSheet Metal Workers
10th
$48,390$38,030
25th
$62,230$47,290
Median
$73,340$60,850
75th
$93,520$79,620
90th
$107,600$102,680

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Boilermakers20282035
Sheet Metal Workers20282035
20242030203520402045

Boilermakers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Sheet Metal Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Boilermakers

$61,554

from $73,340

Sheet Metal Workers

$46,112

from $60,850

After adjusting for AI risk, Boilermakers offers $15,442 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Boilermakers

0

Unique to Sheet

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
BoilermakersSheet Metal Workers