Takeover Tracker
32%medium risk
Child, Family, and School Social Workers
vs

62 shared · 16 different

core competencies

23%low risk
Recreational Therapists

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricChild, Family, and School Social WorkersRecreational Therapists
Risk Score31.7%22.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile49th13th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 152 / 11
Median Salary$58,570$60,280
Employment383K15K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing General Physical Activities
Selling or Influencing Others
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Scheduling Work and Activities
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Active Listening
Processing Information
Psychology
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Clerical
Interacting With Computers
Law and Government

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Child, Family, and School Social Workers

35%

total discount

Recreational Therapists

36%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Child, Family, and School Social Workers

5 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain case history records and prepare reports.
86%Refer clients to community resources for services, such as job placement, debt counseling, legal aid, housing, medical treatment, or financial assistance, and provide concrete information, such as where to go and how to apply.
86%Collect supplementary information needed to assist client, such as employment records, medical records, or school reports.
84%Arrange for medical, psychiatric, and other tests that may disclose causes of difficulties and indicate remedial measures.
51%Address legal issues, such as child abuse and discipline, assisting with hearings and providing testimony to inform custody arrangements.

Recreational Therapists

2 of 11 at risk
86%Prepare and submit reports and charts to treatment team to reflect patients' reactions and evidence of progress or regression.
52%Develop treatment plan to meet needs of patient, based on needs assessment, patient interests, and objectives of therapy.
47%Develop discharge plans for patients.
45%Obtain information from medical records, medical staff, family members and the patients themselves to assess patients' capabilities, needs and interests.
43%Counsel and encourage patients to develop leisure activities.

Wage Comparison

Recreational Therapists earns +$1,710(+3%) vs Child, Family, and School Social Workers
Child, Family, and School Social WorkersRecreational Therapists
10th
$40,580$39,520
25th
$47,480$48,230
Median
$58,570$60,280
75th
$74,060$77,680
90th
$94,030$96,600

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Child, Family, and School Social Workers2028–2035
Recreational Therapists2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Recreational Therapists has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Child, Family, and School Social Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Child, Family, and School Social Workers

$40,021

from $58,570

Recreational Therapists

$46,615

from $60,280

After adjusting for AI risk, Recreational Therapists offers $6,594 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Child,

0

Unique to Recreational

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Child, Family, and School Social WorkersRecreational Therapists
Find transitions from Child, Family, and School Social WorkersFind transitions from Recreational Therapists