Takeover Tracker
28%medium risk
Civil Engineers
vs

78 shared · 15 different

core competencies

30%medium risk
Architectural and Engineering Managers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCivil EngineersArchitectural and Engineering Managers
Risk Score27.9%29.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile29th37th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$99,590$167,740
Employment355K210K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Operations Analysis
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Science
Production and Processing
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Computers and Electronics
Staffing Organizational Units
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Mechanical
Systems AnalysisAI-Augmented

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Civil Engineers

32%

total discount

Architectural and Engineering Managers

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Civil Engineers

5 of 15 at risk
86%Estimate quantities and cost of materials, equipment, or labor to determine project feasibility.
53%Analyze survey reports, maps, drawings, blueprints, aerial photography, or other topographical or geologic data.
51%Compute load and grade requirements, water flow rates, or material stress factors to determine design specifications.
51%Plan and design transportation or hydraulic systems or structures using computer assisted design or drawing tools.
50%Test soils or materials to determine the adequacy and strength of foundations, concrete, asphalt, or steel.

Architectural and Engineering Managers

3 of 15 at risk
84%Perform administrative functions, such as reviewing or writing reports, approving expenditures, enforcing rules, or purchasing of materials or services.
54%Assess project feasibility by analyzing technology, resource needs, or market demand.
52%Review, recommend, or approve contracts or cost estimates.
50%Prepare budgets, bids, or contracts.
49%Develop or implement policies, standards, or procedures for engineering and technical work.

Wage Comparison

Architectural and Engineering Managers earns +$68,150(+68%) vs Civil Engineers
Civil EngineersArchitectural and Engineering Managers
10th
$65,920$111,450
25th
$78,790$134,930
Median
$99,590$167,740
75th
$128,290$207,210
90th
$160,990$239,200

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Civil Engineers2028–2035
Architectural and Engineering Managers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Civil Engineers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Architectural and Engineering Managers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Civil Engineers

$71,834

from $99,590

Architectural and Engineering Managers

$117,904

from $167,740

After adjusting for AI risk, Architectural and Engineering Managers offers $46,070 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Civil

0

Unique to Architectural

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Civil EngineersArchitectural and Engineering Managers
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