Takeover Tracker
29%medium risk
Coaches and Scouts
vs

26 shared · 55 different

core competencies

34%medium risk
Bartenders

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCoaches and ScoutsBartenders
Risk Score29.4%34.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile35th63th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)9 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$45,920$33,530
Employment251K746K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing General Physical Activities
Coaching and Developing Others
Management of Personnel Resources
InstructingAI-Resistant
MonitoringAI-Augmented
Systems Evaluation
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Visualization
Scheduling Work and Activities
Education and Training
Speaking
Systems AnalysisAI-Augmented

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Coaches and Scouts

36%

total discount

Bartenders

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Coaches and Scouts

9 of 15 at risk
86%Monitor the academic eligibility of student athletes.
86%Develop and arrange competition schedules and programs.
70%Monitor athletes' use of equipment to ensure safe and proper use.
55%File scouting reports that detail player assessments, provide recommendations on athlete recruitment, and identify locations and individuals to be targeted for future recruitment efforts.
55%Plan and direct physical conditioning programs that will enable athletes to achieve maximum performance.

Bartenders

5 of 15 at risk
88%Balance cash receipts.
87%Collect money for drinks served.
86%Order or requisition liquors and supplies.
79%Check identification of customers to verify age requirements for purchase of alcohol.
53%Serve wine, and bottled or draft beer.

Wage Comparison

Bartenders earns -$12,390(-27%) vs Coaches and Scouts
Coaches and ScoutsBartenders
10th
$27,490$19,930
25th
$33,960$25,790
Median
$45,920$33,530
75th
$61,930$46,790
90th
$93,980$71,920

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Coaches and Scouts20282035
Bartenders20282035
20242030203520402045

Coaches and Scouts has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Bartenders.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Coaches and Scouts

$32,401

from $45,920

Bartenders

$22,039

from $33,530

After adjusting for AI risk, Coaches and Scouts offers $10,362 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Coaches

0

Unique to Bartenders

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Coaches and ScoutsBartenders