Takeover Tracker
vs

80 shared · 21 different

core competencies

16%low risk
Boilermakers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCommercial DiversBoilermakers
Risk Score22.2%16.1%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile12th2th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$61,130$73,340
Employment3K10K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Physics
Design
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Production and Processing
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Oral Expression
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Commercial Divers

34%

total discount

Boilermakers

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Commercial Divers

7 of 15 at risk
84%Take appropriate safety precautions, such as monitoring dive lengths and depths and registering with authorities before diving expeditions begin.
61%Take test samples or photographs to assess the condition of vessels or structures.
57%Inspect and test docks, ships, buoyage systems, plant intakes or outflows, or underwater pipelines, cables, or sewers, using closed circuit television, still photography, and testing equipment.
55%Operate underwater video, sonar, recording, or related equipment to investigate underwater structures or marine life.
55%Inspect the condition of underwater steel or wood structures.

Boilermakers

3 of 15 at risk
55%Study blueprints to determine locations, relationships, or dimensions of parts.
51%Examine boilers, pressure vessels, tanks, or vats to locate defects, such as leaks, weak spots, or defective sections, so that they can be repaired.
51%Inspect assembled vessels or individual components, such as tubes, fittings, valves, controls, or auxiliary mechanisms, to locate any defects.
43%Lay out plate, sheet steel, or other heavy metal and locate and mark bending and cutting lines, using protractors, compasses, and drawing instruments or templates.
39%Locate and mark reference points for columns or plates on boiler foundations, following blueprints and using straightedges, squares, transits, or measuring instruments.

Wage Comparison

Boilermakers earns +$12,210(+20%) vs Commercial Divers
Commercial DiversBoilermakers
10th
$39,130$48,390
25th
$49,370$62,230
Median
$61,130$73,340
75th
$93,840$93,520
90th
$152,580$107,600

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Commercial Divers20282035
Boilermakers20282035
20242030203520402045

Boilermakers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Commercial Divers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Commercial Divers

$47,547

from $61,130

Boilermakers

$61,554

from $73,340

After adjusting for AI risk, Boilermakers offers $14,007 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Commercial

0

Unique to Boilermakers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Commercial DiversBoilermakers