Takeover Tracker
22%low risk
Commercial Divers
vs

80 shared · 19 different

core competencies

22%low risk
Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCommercial DiversHazardous Materials Removal Workers
Risk Score22.2%22.1%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile12th11th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$61,130$48,490
Employment3K51K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Mechanical
Physics
Handling and Moving Objects
Performing General Physical Activities
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Administration and Management
Transportation
Repairing
Public Safety and Security
Building and Construction
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Commercial Divers

34%

total discount

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Commercial Divers

7 of 15 at risk
84%Take appropriate safety precautions, such as monitoring dive lengths and depths and registering with authorities before diving expeditions begin.
61%Take test samples or photographs to assess the condition of vessels or structures.
57%Inspect and test docks, ships, buoyage systems, plant intakes or outflows, or underwater pipelines, cables, or sewers, using closed circuit television, still photography, and testing equipment.
55%Operate underwater video, sonar, recording, or related equipment to investigate underwater structures or marine life.
55%Inspect the condition of underwater steel or wood structures.

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

3 of 15 at risk
86%Record numbers of containers stored at disposal sites, specifying amounts or types of equipment or waste disposed.
77%Comply with prescribed safety procedures or federal laws regulating waste disposal methods.
52%Identify or separate waste products or materials for recycling or reuse.
49%Drive trucks or other heavy equipment to convey contaminated waste to designated sea or ground locations.
47%Load or unload materials into containers or onto trucks, using hoists or forklifts.

Wage Comparison

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers earns -$12,640(-21%) vs Commercial Divers
Commercial DiversHazardous Materials Removal Workers
10th
$39,130$37,330
25th
$49,370$42,710
Median
$61,130$48,490
75th
$93,840$62,150
90th
$152,580$82,480

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Commercial Divers2028–2035
Hazardous Materials Removal Workers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Commercial Divers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Commercial Divers

$47,547

from $61,130

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

$37,774

from $48,490

After adjusting for AI risk, Commercial Divers offers $9,773 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Commercial

0

Unique to Hazardous

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Social Intelligence
Commercial DiversHazardous Materials Removal Workers
Find transitions from Commercial DiversFind transitions from Hazardous Materials Removal Workers