Takeover Tracker
22%low risk
Commercial Divers
vs

53 shared · 37 different

core competencies

20%low risk
Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCommercial DiversRefractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons
Risk Score22.2%20.1%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile12th7th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 152 / 15
Median Salary$61,130$58,540
Employment3K1K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Assisting and Caring for Others
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Oral Comprehension
Oral Expression
Documenting/Recording Information
Problem Sensitivity
Critical ThinkingAI-Augmented
Flexibility of Closure
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Commercial Divers

34%

total discount

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Commercial Divers

7 of 15 at risk
84%Take appropriate safety precautions, such as monitoring dive lengths and depths and registering with authorities before diving expeditions begin.
61%Take test samples or photographs to assess the condition of vessels or structures.
57%Inspect and test docks, ships, buoyage systems, plant intakes or outflows, or underwater pipelines, cables, or sewers, using closed circuit television, still photography, and testing equipment.
55%Operate underwater video, sonar, recording, or related equipment to investigate underwater structures or marine life.
55%Inspect the condition of underwater steel or wood structures.

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons

2 of 15 at risk
53%Transfer clay structures to curing ovens, melting tanks, and drawing kilns, using forklifts.
51%Mix specified amounts of sand, clay, mortar powder, and water to form refractory clay or mortar, using shovels or mixing machines.
49%Fasten stopper heads to rods with metal pins to assemble refractory stoppers used to plug pouring nozzles of steel ladles.
49%Dump and tamp clay in molds, using tamping tools.
47%Measure furnace walls to determine dimensions and cut required number of sheets from plastic block, using saws.

Wage Comparison

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons earns -$2,590(-4%) vs Commercial Divers
Commercial DiversRefractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons
10th
$39,130$37,050
25th
$49,370$48,380
Median
$61,130$58,540
75th
$93,840$73,940
90th
$152,580$81,440

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Commercial Divers2028–2035
Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Commercial Divers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Commercial Divers

$47,547

from $61,130

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons

$46,768

from $58,540

After adjusting for AI risk, Commercial Divers offers $779 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Commercial

0

Unique to Refractory

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Commercial DiversRefractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons
Find transitions from Commercial DiversFind transitions from Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons