Side-by-Side Comparison
Commercial Divers leads 3–2| Metric | Commercial Divers | Ship Engineers |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Score | 22.2% | 28.0% |
| Risk Tier | Low Risk | Medium Risk |
| Risk Percentile | 12th | 30th |
| Tasks at Risk (>50%) | 7 / 15 | 6 / 15 |
| Median Salary | $61,130 | $101,320 |
| Employment | 3K | 9K |
Skill Comparison
|
Sorted by largest difference
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Building and Construction
Administration and Management
Transportation
Repairing and Maintaining Electronic Equipment
Training and Teaching Others
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Physics
Developing and Building Teams
Performing General Physical Activities
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Assisting and Caring for Others
Protective Factors
Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement
Commercial Divers
34%
total discount
Ship Engineers
30%
total discount
Task Risk Comparison
Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable
Commercial Divers
7 of 15 at risk84%Take appropriate safety precautions, such as monitoring dive lengths and depths and registering with authorities before diving expeditions begin.
61%Take test samples or photographs to assess the condition of vessels or structures.
57%Inspect and test docks, ships, buoyage systems, plant intakes or outflows, or underwater pipelines, cables, or sewers, using closed circuit television, still photography, and testing equipment.
55%Operate underwater video, sonar, recording, or related equipment to investigate underwater structures or marine life.
55%Inspect the condition of underwater steel or wood structures.
Ship Engineers
6 of 15 at risk87%Record orders for changes in ship speed or direction and note gauge readings or test data, such as revolutions per minute or voltage output, in engineering logs or bellbooks.
86%Monitor engine, machinery, or equipment indicators when vessels are underway and report abnormalities to appropriate shipboard staff.
86%Maintain complete records of engineering department activities, including machine operations.
85%Order and receive engine room stores, such as oil or spare parts, maintain inventories, and record usage of supplies.
77%Monitor the availability, use, or condition of lifesaving equipment or pollution preventatives to ensure that international regulations are followed.
Wage Comparison
Ship Engineers earns +$40,190(+66%) vs Commercial Divers
Commercial DiversShip Engineers
10th
$39,130$56,620
25th
$49,370$71,720
Median
$61,130$101,320
75th
$93,840$130,380
90th
$152,580$162,370
Premium Head-to-Head Analysis
Displacement Timeline Comparison
Commercial Divers2028–2035
Ship Engineers2028–2035
20242030203520402045
Commercial Divers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Ship Engineers.
Risk-Adjusted Salary
Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)
Commercial Divers
$47,547
from $61,130
Ship Engineers
$72,950
from $101,320
After adjusting for AI risk, Ship Engineers offers $25,403 more in risk-adjusted pay.
Transition Feasibility
1%
Skill Overlap
Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition
0
Unique to Commercial
0
Unique to Ship
Combined Protection Strategy
Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Commercial DiversShip Engineers