medium risk
Commercial Pilotsvs
30 shared · 57 different
core competencies
Side-by-Side Comparison
Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity leads 4–0| Metric | Commercial Pilots | Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Score | 34.2% | 24.2% |
| Risk Tier | Medium Risk | Low Risk |
| Risk Percentile | 63th | 17th |
| Tasks at Risk (>50%) | 10 / 15 | 7 / 15 |
| Median Salary | $122,670 | N/A |
| Employment | 52K | N/A |
Skill Comparison
|
Sorted by largest difference
Controlling Machines and Processes
Geography
Operation and Control
Deductive Reasoning
Inductive Reasoning
Problem Sensitivity
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Active LearningAI-Augmented
Complex Problem SolvingAI-Resistant
MonitoringAI-Augmented
Protective Factors
Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement
Commercial Pilots
32%
total discount
Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
26%
total discount
Task Risk Comparison
Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable
Commercial Pilots
10 of 15 at risk89%Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.
87%File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.
87%Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.
85%Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.
77%Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.
Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
7 of 15 at risk87%Announce stops to passengers.
87%Record information, such as cash receipts and ticket fares, and maintain log book.
85%Collect tickets or cash fares from passengers.
85%Report delays or accidents.
67%Regulate heating, lighting, and ventilating systems for passenger comfort.
Wage Comparison
Commercial PilotsBus Drivers, Transit and Intercity
10th
$59,330N/A
25th
$81,660N/A
Median
$122,670N/A
75th
$175,050N/A
90th
$239,200N/A
Premium Head-to-Head Analysis
Displacement Timeline Comparison
Commercial Pilots2028–2035
Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity2028–2035
20242030203520402045
Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Commercial Pilots.
Transition Feasibility
1%
Skill Overlap
Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition
0
Unique to Commercial
0
Unique to Bus
Combined Protection Strategy
Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Commercial PilotsBus Drivers, Transit and Intercity