Takeover Tracker
34%medium risk
Commercial Pilots
vs

50 shared · 46 different

core competencies

22%low risk
Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCommercial PilotsHazardous Materials Removal Workers
Risk Score34.2%22.1%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile63th11th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)10 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$122,670$48,490
Employment52K51K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Transportation
Operation and Control
Controlling Machines and Processes
Far Vision
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Response Orientation
Spatial Orientation
Getting Information
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Operation Monitoring
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Commercial Pilots

32%

total discount

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Commercial Pilots

10 of 15 at risk
89%Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.
87%File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.
87%Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.
85%Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.
77%Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

3 of 15 at risk
86%Record numbers of containers stored at disposal sites, specifying amounts or types of equipment or waste disposed.
77%Comply with prescribed safety procedures or federal laws regulating waste disposal methods.
52%Identify or separate waste products or materials for recycling or reuse.
49%Drive trucks or other heavy equipment to convey contaminated waste to designated sea or ground locations.
47%Load or unload materials into containers or onto trucks, using hoists or forklifts.

Wage Comparison

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers earns -$74,180(-60%) vs Commercial Pilots
Commercial PilotsHazardous Materials Removal Workers
10th
$59,330$37,330
25th
$81,660$42,710
Median
$122,670$48,490
75th
$175,050$62,150
90th
$239,200$82,480

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Commercial Pilots2028–2035
Hazardous Materials Removal Workers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Commercial Pilots.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Commercial Pilots

$80,729

from $122,670

Hazardous Materials Removal Workers

$37,774

from $48,490

After adjusting for AI risk, Commercial Pilots offers $42,955 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Commercial

0

Unique to Hazardous

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Commercial PilotsHazardous Materials Removal Workers
Find transitions from Commercial PilotsFind transitions from Hazardous Materials Removal Workers