Takeover Tracker
34%medium risk
Commercial Pilots
vs

34 shared · 54 different

core competencies

46%medium risk
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCommercial PilotsIndustrial Truck and Tractor Operators
Risk Score34.2%45.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile63th92th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)10 / 158 / 11
Median Salary$122,670$46,390
Employment52K806K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Transportation
Customer and Personal Service
Operation and Control
Active LearningAI-Augmented
Problem Sensitivity
Inductive Reasoning
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Controlling Machines and Processes
Information OrderingAI-Vulnerable
Critical ThinkingAI-Augmented
Far Vision
Written Comprehension

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Commercial Pilots

32%

total discount

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Commercial Pilots

10 of 15 at risk
89%Consider airport altitudes, outside temperatures, plane weights, and wind speeds and directions to calculate the speed needed to become airborne.
87%File instrument flight plans with air traffic control so that flights can be coordinated with other air traffic.
87%Plan flights according to government and company regulations, using aeronautical charts and navigation instruments.
85%Monitor engine operation, fuel consumption, and functioning of aircraft systems during flights.
77%Check aircraft prior to flights to ensure that the engines, controls, instruments, and other systems are functioning properly.

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

8 of 11 at risk
87%Weigh materials or products and record weight or other production data on tags or labels.
63%Manually or mechanically load or unload materials from pallets, skids, platforms, cars, lifting devices, or other transport vehicles.
63%Move controls to drive gasoline- or electric-powered trucks, cars, or tractors and transport materials between loading, processing, and storage areas.
61%Move levers or controls that operate lifting devices, such as forklifts, lift beams with swivel-hooks, hoists, or elevating platforms, to load, unload, transport, or stack material.
61%Inspect product load for accuracy and safely move it around the warehouse or facility to ensure timely and complete delivery.

Wage Comparison

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators earns -$76,280(-62%) vs Commercial Pilots
Commercial PilotsIndustrial Truck and Tractor Operators
10th
$59,330$36,500
25th
$81,660$39,780
Median
$122,670$46,390
75th
$175,050$53,680
90th
$239,200$61,540

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Commercial Pilots2028–2035
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Commercial Pilots has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Commercial Pilots

$80,729

from $122,670

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

$25,218

from $46,390

After adjusting for AI risk, Commercial Pilots offers $55,512 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Commercial

0

Unique to Industrial

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Commercial PilotsIndustrial Truck and Tractor Operators
Find transitions from Commercial PilotsFind transitions from Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators