Takeover Tracker
21%low risk
Construction Carpenters
vs

61 shared · 11 different

core competencies

18%low risk
Construction Laborers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricConstruction CarpentersConstruction Laborers
Risk Score20.8%17.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile8th4th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$59,310$46,730
Employment698K1.1M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Design
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Visualization
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
English Language
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Scheduling Work and Activities

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Construction Carpenters

28%

total discount

Construction Laborers

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Construction Carpenters

7 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.
86%Select and order lumber or other required materials.
70%Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.
66%Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.
55%Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

Construction Laborers

3 of 15 at risk
71%Measure, mark, or record openings or distances to layout areas where construction work will be performed.
70%Operate or maintain air monitoring or other sampling devices in confined or hazardous environments.
68%Read plans, instructions, or specifications to determine work activities.
49%Tend pumps, compressors, or generators to provide power for tools, machinery, or equipment or to heat or move materials, such as asphalt.
47%Control traffic passing near, in, or around work zones.

Wage Comparison

Construction Laborers earns -$12,580(-21%) vs Construction Carpenters
Construction CarpentersConstruction Laborers
10th
$38,760$34,200
25th
$47,550$38,100
Median
$59,310$46,730
75th
$75,620$58,910
90th
$98,370$77,530

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Construction Carpenters2028–2035
Construction Laborers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Construction Laborers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Construction Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Construction Carpenters

$46,956

from $59,310

Construction Laborers

$38,412

from $46,730

After adjusting for AI risk, Construction Carpenters offers $8,544 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Construction

0

Unique to Construction

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Construction CarpentersConstruction Laborers
Find transitions from Construction CarpentersFind transitions from Construction Laborers