Takeover Tracker
vs

65 shared · 6 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricConstruction CarpentersHelpers--Carpenters
Risk Score20.8%23.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile8th16th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$59,310$41,600
Employment698K25K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Transportation
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Scheduling Work and Activities
Performing General Physical Activities
Production and Processing

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Construction Carpenters

28%

total discount

Helpers--Carpenters

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Construction Carpenters

7 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.
86%Select and order lumber or other required materials.
70%Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.
66%Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.
55%Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

Helpers--Carpenters

5 of 15 at risk
63%Hold plumb bobs, sighting rods, or other equipment to aid in establishing reference points and lines.
57%Cut timbers, lumber, or paneling to specified dimensions.
57%Smooth or sand surfaces to remove ridges, tool marks, glue, or caulking.
53%Glue and clamp edges or joints of assembled parts.
51%Perform tie spacing layout and measure, mark, drill or cut.

Wage Comparison

Helpers--Carpenters earns -$17,710(-30%) vs Construction Carpenters
Construction CarpentersHelpers--Carpenters
10th
$38,760$31,540
25th
$47,550$35,870
Median
$59,310$41,600
75th
$75,620$46,780
90th
$98,370$52,380

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Construction Carpenters20282035
Helpers--Carpenters20282035
20242030203520402045

Construction Carpenters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Helpers--Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Construction Carpenters

$46,956

from $59,310

Helpers--Carpenters

$31,687

from $41,600

After adjusting for AI risk, Construction Carpenters offers $15,269 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Construction

0

Unique to Helpers--Carpenters

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Construction CarpentersHelpers--Carpenters