Takeover Tracker
21%low risk
Construction Carpenters
vs

67 shared · 12 different

core competencies

18%low risk
Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricConstruction CarpentersPipe Fitters and Steamfitters
Risk Score20.8%17.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile8th3th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$59,310$62,970
Employment698K456K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Thinking Creatively
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Building and Construction
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Controlling Machines and Processes
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Administration and Management
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Control Precision
Mechanical
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Construction Carpenters

28%

total discount

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Construction Carpenters

7 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.
86%Select and order lumber or other required materials.
70%Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.
66%Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.
55%Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

3 of 15 at risk
86%Select pipe sizes, types, or related materials, such as supports, hangers, or hydraulic cylinders, according to specifications.
55%Lay out full scale drawings of pipe systems, supports, or related equipment, according to blueprints.
51%Plan pipe system layout, installation, or repair, according to specifications.
43%Inspect work sites for obstructions or holes that could cause structural weakness.
39%Inspect, examine, or test installed systems or pipe lines, using pressure gauge, hydrostatic testing, observation, or other methods.

Wage Comparison

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters earns +$3,660(+6%) vs Construction Carpenters
Construction CarpentersPipe Fitters and Steamfitters
10th
$38,760$40,670
25th
$47,550$48,860
Median
$59,310$62,970
75th
$75,620$81,900
90th
$98,370$105,150

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Construction Carpenters2028–2035
Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Construction Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Construction Carpenters

$46,956

from $59,310

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

$51,774

from $62,970

After adjusting for AI risk, Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters offers $4,818 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Construction

0

Unique to Pipe

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Construction CarpentersPipe Fitters and Steamfitters
Find transitions from Construction CarpentersFind transitions from Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters