Takeover Tracker
21%low risk
Construction Carpenters
vs

69 shared · 11 different

core competencies

23%low risk
Rough Carpenters

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricConstruction CarpentersRough Carpenters
Risk Score20.8%23.4%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile8th15th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$59,310$59,310
Employment698K698K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Coaching and Developing Others
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Production and Processing
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Building and Construction
Training and Teaching Others
English Language

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Construction Carpenters

28%

total discount

Rough Carpenters

31%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Construction Carpenters

7 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.
86%Select and order lumber or other required materials.
70%Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.
66%Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.
55%Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

Rough Carpenters

4 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.
84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.
62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.
51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.
43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.

Wage Comparison

Rough Carpenters earns $0(0%) vs Construction Carpenters
Construction CarpentersRough Carpenters
10th
$38,760$38,760
25th
$47,550$47,550
Median
$59,310$59,310
75th
$75,620$75,620
90th
$98,370$98,370

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Construction Carpenters2028–2035
Rough Carpenters2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Construction Carpenters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Rough Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Construction Carpenters

$46,956

from $59,310

Rough Carpenters

$45,414

from $59,310

After adjusting for AI risk, Construction Carpenters offers $1,542 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Construction

0

Unique to Rough

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Construction CarpentersRough Carpenters
Find transitions from Construction CarpentersFind transitions from Rough Carpenters