Construction Carpenters vs Tile and Marble Setters AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

low risk

Construction Carpenters

53 shared · 15 different

core competencies

medium risk

Tile and Marble Setters

Side-by-Side Comparison

Construction Carpenters leads 4–1

Metric	Construction Carpenters	Tile and Marble Setters
Risk Score	20.8%	26.5%
Risk Tier	Low Risk	Medium Risk
Risk Percentile	8th	23th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	7 / 15	3 / 15
Median Salary	$59,310	$52,240
Employment	698K	39K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction

Mechanical

MathematicsAI-Vulnerable

Thinking Creatively

Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others

Public Safety and Security

English Language

Education and Training

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment

Design

Administration and Management

Developing and Building Teams

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Construction Carpenters

28%

total discount

Tile and Marble Setters

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Construction Carpenters

7 of 15 at risk

88%Maintain records, document actions, and present written progress reports.

86%Select and order lumber or other required materials.

70%Verify trueness of structure, using plumb bob and level.

66%Measure and mark cutting lines on materials, using a ruler, pencil, chalk, and marking gauge.

55%Study specifications in blueprints, sketches, or building plans to prepare project layout and determine dimensions and materials required.

Tile and Marble Setters

3 of 15 at risk

85%Prepare cost and labor estimates, based on calculations of time and materials needed for project.

71%Study blueprints and examine surface to be covered to determine amount of material needed.

53%Determine and implement the best layout to achieve a desired pattern.

41%Measure and mark surfaces to be tiled, following blueprints.

41%Level concrete and allow to dry.

Wage Comparison

Tile and Marble Setters earns -$7,070(-12%) vs Construction Carpenters

Construction CarpentersTile and Marble Setters

10th

$38,760$36,140

25th

$47,550$44,540

Median

$59,310$52,240

75th

$75,620$64,980

90th

$98,370$82,960

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Construction Carpenters2028–2035

Tile and Marble Setters2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Construction Carpenters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Tile and Marble Setters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Construction Carpenters

$46,956

from $59,310

Tile and Marble Setters

$38,407

from $52,240

After adjusting for AI risk, Construction Carpenters offers $8,549 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Construction

Unique to Tile

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers

Creativity

Fine Manipulation

Decision Complexity

Construction CarpentersTile and Marble Setters

Find transitions from Construction Carpenters Find transitions from Tile and Marble Setters