Takeover Tracker
vs

45 shared · 13 different

core competencies

37%medium risk
Bakers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCooks, Private HouseholdBakers
Risk Score23.5%36.6%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile15th71th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 138 / 15
Median Salary$44,530$36,650
Employment900232K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Production and Processing
Customer and Personal Service
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Sales and Marketing
Service OrientationAI-Resistant
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Training and Teaching Others
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Thinking Creatively
Getting Information

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Cooks, Private Household

27%

total discount

Bakers

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Cooks, Private Household

4 of 13 at risk
85%Keep records pertaining to menus, finances, and other business-related issues.
73%Shop for or order food and kitchen supplies and equipment.
59%Plan menus according to employers' needs and diet restrictions.
55%Create and explore new cuisines.
47%Plan and prepare food for parties, holiday meals, luncheons, special functions, and other social events.

Bakers

8 of 15 at risk
85%Direct or coordinate bakery deliveries.
73%Adapt the quantity of ingredients to match the amount of items to be baked.
65%Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.
63%Operate slicing or wrapping machines.
61%Check products for quality and identify damaged or expired goods.

Wage Comparison

Bakers earns -$7,880(-18%) vs Cooks, Private Household
Cooks, Private HouseholdBakers
10th
$38,240$27,560
25th
$42,800$31,470
Median
$44,530$36,650
75th
$47,150$42,570
90th
$92,480$48,260

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Cooks, Private Household20282035
Bakers20282035
20242030203520402045

Cooks, Private Household has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Bakers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Cooks, Private Household

$34,048

from $44,530

Bakers

$23,225

from $36,650

After adjusting for AI risk, Cooks, Private Household offers $10,823 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Cooks,

0

Unique to Bakers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Cooks, Private HouseholdBakers