Takeover Tracker
vs

31 shared · 15 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCooks, Private HouseholdManicurists and Pedicurists
Risk Score23.5%21.6%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile15th10th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 132 / 15
Median Salary$44,530$34,660
Employment900148K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Getting Information
Customer and Personal Service
Sales and Marketing
Handling and Moving Objects
Multilimb Coordination
Fluency of Ideas
Administration and Management
Thinking Creatively
Originality
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Cooks, Private Household

27%

total discount

Manicurists and Pedicurists

23%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Cooks, Private Household

4 of 13 at risk
85%Keep records pertaining to menus, finances, and other business-related issues.
73%Shop for or order food and kitchen supplies and equipment.
59%Plan menus according to employers' needs and diet restrictions.
55%Create and explore new cuisines.
47%Plan and prepare food for parties, holiday meals, luncheons, special functions, and other social events.

Manicurists and Pedicurists

2 of 15 at risk
87%Maintain supply inventories and records of client services.
87%Schedule client appointments and accept payments.
45%Clean and sanitize tools and work environment.
41%Remove previously applied nail polish, using liquid remover and swabs.
39%Prepare customers' nails in soapy water, using swabs, files, and orange sticks.

Wage Comparison

Manicurists and Pedicurists earns -$9,870(-22%) vs Cooks, Private Household
Cooks, Private HouseholdManicurists and Pedicurists
10th
$38,240$27,910
25th
$42,800$31,510
Median
$44,530$34,660
75th
$47,150$37,660
90th
$92,480$47,990

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Cooks, Private Household20282035
Manicurists and Pedicurists20282035
20242030203520402045

Manicurists and Pedicurists has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Cooks, Private Household.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Cooks, Private Household

$34,048

from $44,530

Manicurists and Pedicurists

$27,163

from $34,660

After adjusting for AI risk, Cooks, Private Household offers $6,885 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Cooks,

0

Unique to Manicurists

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Cooks, Private HouseholdManicurists and Pedicurists