Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCriminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, PostsecondaryElementary School Teachers, Except Special Education
Risk Score33.2%29.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile58th37th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)9 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$71,470$62,340
Employment14K1.4M

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Law and Government
Public Safety and Security
Sociology and Anthropology
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Assisting and Caring for Others
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Analyzing Data or Information
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates
Speech Recognition
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary

31%

total discount

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education

35%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary

9 of 15 at risk
87%Maintain student attendance records, grades, and other required records.
86%Write letters of recommendation for students.
73%Prepare course materials, such as syllabi, homework assignments, and handouts.
72%Compile, administer, and grade examinations, or assign this work to others.
68%Select and obtain materials and supplies, such as textbooks.

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education

6 of 15 at risk
66%Enforce administration policies and rules governing students.
61%Provide a variety of materials and resources for children to explore, manipulate, and use, both in learning activities and in imaginative play.
56%Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
55%Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects and communicate those objectives to students.
53%Plan and conduct activities for a balanced program of instruction, demonstration, and work time that provides students with opportunities to observe, question, and investigate.

Wage Comparison

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education earns -$9,130(-13%) vs Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary
Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, PostsecondaryElementary School Teachers, Except Special Education
10th
$45,640$46,440
25th
$56,100$50,680
Median
$71,470$62,340
75th
$99,730$79,410
90th
$143,130$102,010

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary20282035
Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education20282035
20242030203520402045

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary

$47,749

from $71,470

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education

$43,819

from $62,340

After adjusting for AI risk, Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, Postsecondary offers $3,930 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Criminal

0

Unique to Elementary

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Criminal Justice and Law Enforcement Teachers, PostsecondaryElementary School Teachers, Except Special Education