Takeover Tracker
46%medium risk
Customs Brokers
vs

53 shared · 16 different

core competencies

33%medium risk
Insurance Underwriters

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricCustoms BrokersInsurance Underwriters
Risk Score45.8%32.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile93th54th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)11 / 152 / 8
Median Salary$81,270$79,880
Employment1.1M108K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Clerical
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Law and Government
Interacting With Computers
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Computers and Electronics
Administration and Management
Training and Teaching Others
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Performing Administrative Activities
Analyzing Data or Information
Economics and Accounting

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Customs Brokers

29%

total discount

Insurance Underwriters

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Customs Brokers

11 of 15 at risk
88%Monitor or trace the location of goods.
86%Calculate duty and tariff payments owed on shipments.
86%Quote duty and tax rates on goods to be imported, based on federal tariffs and excise taxes.
84%Request or compile necessary import documentation, such as customs invoices, certificates of origin, and cargo-control documents.
84%Arrange for transportation, warehousing, or product distribution of imported or exported products.

Insurance Underwriters

2 of 8 at risk
86%Review company records to determine amount of insurance in force on single risk or group of closely related risks.
55%Decline excessive risks.
49%Evaluate possibility of losses due to catastrophe or excessive insurance.
44%Decrease value of policy when risk is substandard and specify applicable endorsements or apply rating to ensure safe, profitable distribution of risks, using reference materials.
40%Examine documents to determine degree of risk from factors such as applicant health, financial standing and value, and condition of property.

Wage Comparison

Insurance Underwriters earns -$1,390(-2%) vs Customs Brokers
Customs BrokersInsurance Underwriters
10th
$46,230$51,640
25th
$60,820$63,070
Median
$81,270$79,880
75th
$110,030$104,820
90th
$147,830$138,020

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Customs Brokers2028–2035
Insurance Underwriters2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Insurance Underwriters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Customs Brokers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Customs Brokers

$44,048

from $81,270

Insurance Underwriters

$53,791

from $79,880

After adjusting for AI risk, Insurance Underwriters offers $9,743 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Customs

0

Unique to Insurance

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Decision Complexity
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Customs BrokersInsurance Underwriters
Find transitions from Customs BrokersFind transitions from Insurance Underwriters