Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricDrilling and Boring Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticPatternmakers, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score40.8%31.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile83th48th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$46,630$54,540
Employment5K2K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Handling and Moving Objects
Production and Processing
Static Strength
Interacting With Computers

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Drilling and Boring Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

26%

total discount

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Drilling and Boring Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

7 of 15 at risk
87%Select and set cutting speeds, feed rates, depths of cuts, and cutting tools, according to machining instructions or knowledge of metal properties.
84%Lay out reference lines and machining locations on work, using layout tools, and applying knowledge of shop math and layout techniques.
72%Study machining instructions, job orders, or blueprints to determine dimensional or finish specifications, sequences of operations, setups, or tooling requirements.
63%Observe drilling or boring machine operations to detect any problems.
61%Move machine controls to lower tools to workpieces and to engage automatic feeds.

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
84%Select pattern materials such as wood, resin, and fiberglass.
73%Program computerized numerical control machine tools.
59%Mark identification numbers or symbols onto patterns or templates.
57%Paint or lacquer patterns.
55%Create computer models of patterns or parts, using modeling software.

Wage Comparison

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic earns +$7,910(+17%) vs Drilling and Boring Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Drilling and Boring Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticPatternmakers, Metal and Plastic
10th
$35,360$39,150
25th
$41,100$47,520
Median
$46,630$54,540
75th
$56,820$66,590
90th
$65,200$79,690

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Drilling and Boring Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic20282035
20242030203520402045

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Drilling and Boring Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Drilling and Boring Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$27,596

from $46,630

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

$37,284

from $54,540

After adjusting for AI risk, Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic offers $9,688 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Drilling

0

Unique to Patternmakers,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Drilling and Boring Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticPatternmakers, Metal and Plastic