Takeover Tracker
20%low risk
Electricians
vs

65 shared · 26 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricElectriciansSheet Metal Workers
Risk Score20.5%24.2%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile8th17th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 157 / 15
Median Salary$62,350$60,850
Employment743K117K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Visual Color Discrimination
Repairing and Maintaining Electronic Equipment
Physics
Troubleshooting
Installation
Public Safety and Security
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Problem Sensitivity
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Deductive Reasoning
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Electricians

30%

total discount

Sheet Metal Workers

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Electricians

4 of 15 at risk
77%Maintain current electrician's license or identification card to meet governmental regulations.
54%Diagnose malfunctioning systems, apparatus, or components, using test equipment and hand tools to locate the cause of a breakdown and correct the problem.
53%Prepare sketches or follow blueprints to determine the location of wiring or equipment and to ensure conformance to building and safety codes.
51%Plan layout and installation of electrical wiring, equipment, or fixtures, based on job specifications and local codes.
43%Inspect electrical systems, equipment, or components to identify hazards, defects, or the need for adjustment or repair, and to ensure compliance with codes.

Sheet Metal Workers

7 of 15 at risk
86%Develop or lay out patterns, using computerized metalworking equipment.
86%Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).
85%Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.
84%Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.
63%Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

Wage Comparison

Sheet Metal Workers earns -$1,500(-2%) vs Electricians
ElectriciansSheet Metal Workers
10th
$39,430$38,030
25th
$48,820$47,290
Median
$62,350$60,850
75th
$81,730$79,620
90th
$106,030$102,680

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Electricians20282035
Sheet Metal Workers20282035
20242030203520402045

Electricians has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Sheet Metal Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Electricians

$49,587

from $62,350

Sheet Metal Workers

$46,112

from $60,850

After adjusting for AI risk, Electricians offers $3,475 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Electricians

0

Unique to Sheet

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
ElectriciansSheet Metal Workers