Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricElementary School Teachers, Except Special EducationSpecial Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School
Risk Score29.7%26.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile37th24th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$62,340$63,000
Employment1.4M232K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Interacting With Computers
Performing Administrative Activities
Documenting/Recording Information
Getting Information
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Law and Government
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
History and Archeology
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Therapy and Counseling
Psychology

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education

35%

total discount

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education

6 of 15 at risk
66%Enforce administration policies and rules governing students.
61%Provide a variety of materials and resources for children to explore, manipulate, and use, both in learning activities and in imaginative play.
56%Prepare materials and classrooms for class activities.
55%Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects and communicate those objectives to students.
53%Plan and conduct activities for a balanced program of instruction, demonstration, and work time that provides students with opportunities to observe, question, and investigate.

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

6 of 15 at risk
84%Maintain accurate and complete student records as required by laws, district policies, or administrative regulations.
71%Prepare reports on students and activities as required by administration.
71%Prepare, administer, or grade tests or assignments to evaluate students' progress.
55%Modify the general kindergarten or elementary education curriculum for special-needs students.
53%Develop individual educational plans (IEPs) designed to promote students' educational, physical, or social development.

Wage Comparison

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School earns +$660(+1%) vs Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education
Elementary School Teachers, Except Special EducationSpecial Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School
10th
$46,440$47,590
25th
$50,680$57,050
Median
$62,340$63,000
75th
$79,410$79,320
90th
$102,010$100,620

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education20282035
Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School20282035
20242030203520402045

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education

$43,819

from $62,340

Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School

$46,242

from $63,000

After adjusting for AI risk, Special Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School offers $2,423 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Elementary

0

Unique to Special

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Elementary School Teachers, Except Special EducationSpecial Education Teachers, Kindergarten and Elementary School