Takeover Tracker
26%medium risk
Elevator Installers and Repairers
vs

79 shared · 25 different

core competencies

22%low risk
Commercial Divers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricElevator Installers and RepairersCommercial Divers
Risk Score25.8%22.2%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile22th12th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 157 / 15
Median Salary$106,580$61,130
Employment23K3K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Repairing and Maintaining Electronic Equipment
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Customer and Personal Service
Computers and Electronics
Design
Mechanical
Interacting With Computers
Controlling Machines and Processes
Assisting and Caring for Others
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Elevator Installers and Repairers

32%

total discount

Commercial Divers

34%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Elevator Installers and Repairers

6 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain log books that detail all repairs and checks performed.
77%Check that safety regulations and building codes are met, and complete service reports verifying conformance to standards.
74%Test newly installed equipment to ensure that it meets specifications, such as stopping at floors for set amounts of time.
73%Inspect wiring connections, control panel hookups, door installations, and alignments and clearances of cars and hoistways to ensure that equipment will operate properly.
55%Read and interpret blueprints to determine the layout of system components, frameworks, and foundations, and to select installation equipment.

Commercial Divers

7 of 15 at risk
84%Take appropriate safety precautions, such as monitoring dive lengths and depths and registering with authorities before diving expeditions begin.
61%Take test samples or photographs to assess the condition of vessels or structures.
57%Inspect and test docks, ships, buoyage systems, plant intakes or outflows, or underwater pipelines, cables, or sewers, using closed circuit television, still photography, and testing equipment.
55%Operate underwater video, sonar, recording, or related equipment to investigate underwater structures or marine life.
55%Inspect the condition of underwater steel or wood structures.

Wage Comparison

Commercial Divers earns -$45,450(-43%) vs Elevator Installers and Repairers
Elevator Installers and RepairersCommercial Divers
10th
$54,720$39,130
25th
$76,700$49,370
Median
$106,580$61,130
75th
$131,740$93,840
90th
$149,250$152,580

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Elevator Installers and Repairers2028–2035
Commercial Divers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Commercial Divers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Elevator Installers and Repairers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Elevator Installers and Repairers

$79,050

from $106,580

Commercial Divers

$47,547

from $61,130

After adjusting for AI risk, Elevator Installers and Repairers offers $31,503 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Elevator

0

Unique to Commercial

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Elevator Installers and RepairersCommercial Divers
Find transitions from Elevator Installers and RepairersFind transitions from Commercial Divers