Elevator Installers and Repairers vs Plumbers AI Risk

Job 1

Job 2

Job 1

Job 2

medium risk

Elevator Installers and Repairers

65 shared · 25 different

core competencies

low risk

Plumbers

Side-by-Side Comparison

Plumbers leads 4–1

Metric	Elevator Installers and Repairers	Plumbers
Risk Score	25.8%	18.7%
Risk Tier	Medium Risk	Low Risk
Risk Percentile	22th	5th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)	6 / 15	2 / 15
Median Salary	$106,580	$62,970
Employment	23K	456K

Skill Comparison

Sorted by largest difference

Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment

Controlling Machines and Processes

Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships

Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Handling and Moving Objects

Making Decisions and Solving Problems

Customer and Personal Service

Thinking Creatively

Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings

Performing General Physical Activities

Computers and Electronics

Troubleshooting

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Elevator Installers and Repairers

32%

total discount

Plumbers

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Elevator Installers and Repairers

6 of 15 at risk

88%Maintain log books that detail all repairs and checks performed.

77%Check that safety regulations and building codes are met, and complete service reports verifying conformance to standards.

74%Test newly installed equipment to ensure that it meets specifications, such as stopping at floors for set amounts of time.

73%Inspect wiring connections, control panel hookups, door installations, and alignments and clearances of cars and hoistways to ensure that equipment will operate properly.

55%Read and interpret blueprints to determine the layout of system components, frameworks, and foundations, and to select installation equipment.

Plumbers

2 of 15 at risk

87%Keep records of work assignments.

54%Estimate time, material, or labor costs for use in project plans.

48%Review blueprints, building codes, or specifications to determine work details or procedures.

45%Inspect structures to assess material or equipment needs, to establish the sequence of pipe installations, or to plan installation around obstructions, such as electrical wiring.

38%Maintain or repair plumbing by replacing defective washers, replacing or mending broken pipes, or opening clogged drains.

Wage Comparison

Plumbers earns -$43,610(-41%) vs Elevator Installers and Repairers

Elevator Installers and RepairersPlumbers

10th

$54,720$40,670

25th

$76,700$48,860

Median

$106,580$62,970

75th

$131,740$81,900

90th

$149,250$105,150

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Elevator Installers and Repairers2028–2035

Plumbers2028–2035

20242030203520402045

Plumbers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Elevator Installers and Repairers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Elevator Installers and Repairers

$79,050

from $106,580

Plumbers

$51,195

from $62,970

After adjusting for AI risk, Elevator Installers and Repairers offers $27,856 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

Unique to Elevator

Unique to Plumbers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation

Creativity

Decision Complexity

Social Intelligence

Elevator Installers and RepairersPlumbers

Find transitions from Elevator Installers and Repairers Find transitions from Plumbers