Takeover Tracker
27%medium risk
Exercise Physiologists
vs

71 shared · 17 different

core competencies

23%low risk
Athletic Trainers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricExercise PhysiologistsAthletic Trainers
Risk Score27.4%23.4%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile26th15th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$58,160$60,250
Employment8K29K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Medicine and Dentistry
Personnel and Human Resources
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Assisting and Caring for Others
Analyzing Data or Information
Processing Information
Biology
Administration and Management
Coaching and Developing Others
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Exercise Physiologists

35%

total discount

Athletic Trainers

37%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Exercise Physiologists

5 of 15 at risk
59%Measure amount of body fat, using such equipment as hydrostatic scale, skinfold calipers, or tape measures.
55%Develop exercise programs to improve participant strength, flexibility, endurance, or circulatory functioning, in accordance with exercise science standards, regulatory requirements, and credentialing requirements.
54%Prescribe individualized exercise programs, specifying equipment such as treadmill, exercise bicycle, ergometers, or perceptual goggles.
52%Interpret exercise program participant data to evaluate progress or identify needed program changes.
51%Plan or conduct exercise physiology research projects.

Athletic Trainers

5 of 15 at risk
86%File athlete insurance claims and communicate with insurance providers.
68%Perform general administrative tasks, such as keeping records or writing reports.
51%Assess and report the progress of recovering athletes to coaches or physicians.
51%Plan or implement comprehensive athletic injury or illness prevention programs.
51%Inspect playing fields to locate any items that could injure players.

Wage Comparison

Athletic Trainers earns +$2,090(+4%) vs Exercise Physiologists
Exercise PhysiologistsAthletic Trainers
10th
$40,930$45,380
25th
$48,650$51,590
Median
$58,160$60,250
75th
$65,430$70,880
90th
$79,830$84,100

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Exercise Physiologists2028–2035
Athletic Trainers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Athletic Trainers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Exercise Physiologists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Exercise Physiologists

$42,207

from $58,160

Athletic Trainers

$46,158

from $60,250

After adjusting for AI risk, Athletic Trainers offers $3,951 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Exercise

0

Unique to Athletic

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Exercise PhysiologistsAthletic Trainers
Find transitions from Exercise PhysiologistsFind transitions from Athletic Trainers