Takeover Tracker
24%low risk
Fallers
vs

40 shared · 17 different

core competencies

33%medium risk
Dredge Operators

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricFallersDredge Operators
Risk Score24.2%32.8%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile17th55th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 154 / 7
Median Salary$53,900$48,430
Employment4K1K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing General Physical Activities
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Mechanical
Speed of Limb Movement
Extent Flexibility
Handling and Moving Objects
Stamina
Static Strength
Gross Body Coordination
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Administration and Management
Gross Body Equilibrium

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Fallers

24%

total discount

Dredge Operators

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Fallers

2 of 15 at risk
80%Assess logs after cutting to ensure that the quality and length are correct.
70%Tag unsafe trees with high-visibility ribbons.
49%Measure felled trees and cut them into specified log lengths, using chain saws and axes.
49%Load logs or wood onto trucks, trailers, or railroad cars, by hand or using loaders or winches.
47%Trim off the tops and limbs of trees, using chainsaws, delimbers, or axes.

Dredge Operators

4 of 7 at risk
86%Lower anchor poles to verify depths of excavations, using winches, or scan depth gauges to determine depths of excavations.
67%Start and stop engines to operate equipment.
65%Pump water to clear machinery pipelines.
61%Start power winches that draw in or let out cables to change positions of dredges, or pull in and let out cables manually.
41%Perform maintenance on dredge equipment, such as changing engine oil.

Wage Comparison

Dredge Operators earns -$5,470(-10%) vs Fallers
FallersDredge Operators
10th
$35,620$42,060
25th
$43,670$46,120
Median
$53,900$48,430
75th
$65,040$60,300
90th
$84,510$75,050

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Fallers20282035
Dredge Operators20282035
20242030203520402045

Fallers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Dredge Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Fallers

$40,862

from $53,900

Dredge Operators

$32,545

from $48,430

After adjusting for AI risk, Fallers offers $8,317 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Fallers

0

Unique to Dredge

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
FallersDredge Operators