Takeover Tracker
21%low risk
Forest Firefighters
vs

43 shared · 61 different

core competencies

23%low risk
Helpers--Roofers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricForest FirefightersHelpers--Roofers
Risk Score21.0%22.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile9th13th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 150 / 15
Median Salary$59,530$40,590
Employment332K5K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing General Physical Activities
Assisting and Caring for Others
Handling and Moving Objects
Customer and Personal Service
Public Safety and Security
Chemistry
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Transportation
Response Orientation
Thinking Creatively
Coaching and Developing Others
Control Precision

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Forest Firefighters

35%

total discount

Helpers--Roofers

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Forest Firefighters

2 of 15 at risk
76%Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.
74%Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.
49%Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.
49%Maintain fire equipment and firehouse living quarters.
49%Transport personnel and cargo to and from fire areas.

Helpers--Roofers

0 of 15 at risk
39%Sweep and clean roofs to prepare them for the application of new roofing materials.
39%Clean work areas and equipment.
39%Maintain tools and equipment.
39%Unload materials and tools from work trucks, and unroll roofing as directed.
39%Hoist tar and roofing materials to roofs, using ropes and pulleys, or carry materials up ladders.

Wage Comparison

Helpers--Roofers earns -$18,940(-32%) vs Forest Firefighters
Forest FirefightersHelpers--Roofers
10th
$34,490$27,780
25th
$44,180$34,800
Median
$59,530$40,590
75th
$77,410$47,570
90th
$101,330$55,310

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Forest Firefighters2028–2035
Helpers--Roofers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Forest Firefighters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Helpers--Roofers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Forest Firefighters

$47,029

from $59,530

Helpers--Roofers

$31,356

from $40,590

After adjusting for AI risk, Forest Firefighters offers $15,673 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Forest

0

Unique to Helpers--Roofers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Forest FirefightersHelpers--Roofers
Find transitions from Forest FirefightersFind transitions from Helpers--Roofers