Side-by-Side Comparison
Forest Firefighters leads 5–0| Metric | Forest Firefighters | Rough Carpenters |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Score | 21.0% | 23.4% |
| Risk Tier | Low Risk | Low Risk |
| Risk Percentile | 9th | 15th |
| Tasks at Risk (>50%) | 2 / 15 | 4 / 15 |
| Median Salary | $59,530 | $59,310 |
| Employment | 332K | 698K |
Skill Comparison
|
Sorted by largest difference
Assisting and Caring for Others
Public Safety and Security
Customer and Personal Service
Transportation
Design
Chemistry
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Documenting/Recording Information
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Protective Factors
Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement
Forest Firefighters
35%
total discount
Rough Carpenters
31%
total discount
Task Risk Comparison
Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable
Forest Firefighters
2 of 15 at risk76%Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.
74%Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.
49%Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.
49%Maintain fire equipment and firehouse living quarters.
49%Transport personnel and cargo to and from fire areas.
Rough Carpenters
4 of 15 at risk86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.
84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.
62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.
51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.
43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.
Wage Comparison
Rough Carpenters earns -$220(0%) vs Forest Firefighters
Forest FirefightersRough Carpenters
10th
$34,490$38,760
25th
$44,180$47,550
Median
$59,530$59,310
75th
$77,410$75,620
90th
$101,330$98,370
Premium Head-to-Head Analysis
Displacement Timeline Comparison
Forest Firefighters2028–2035
Rough Carpenters2028–2035
20242030203520402045
Forest Firefighters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Rough Carpenters.
Risk-Adjusted Salary
Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)
Forest Firefighters
$47,029
from $59,530
Rough Carpenters
$45,414
from $59,310
After adjusting for AI risk, Forest Firefighters offers $1,615 more in risk-adjusted pay.
Transition Feasibility
1%
Skill Overlap
Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition
0
Unique to Forest
0
Unique to Rough
Combined Protection Strategy
Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Forest FirefightersRough Carpenters