Takeover Tracker
21%low risk
Forest Firefighters
vs

72 shared · 33 different

core competencies

39%medium risk
Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricForest FirefightersTank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders
Risk Score21.0%39.5%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile9th79th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$59,530$58,070
Employment332K11K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Assisting and Caring for Others
Building and Construction
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Customer and Personal Service
Education and Training
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Active Listening
Chemistry
Service OrientationAI-Resistant
Spatial Orientation
Administration and Management
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Forest Firefighters

35%

total discount

Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Forest Firefighters

2 of 15 at risk
76%Maintain knowledge of current firefighting practices by participating in drills and by attending seminars, conventions, and conferences.
74%Maintain contact with fire dispatchers at all times to notify them of the need for additional firefighters and supplies, or to detail any difficulties encountered.
49%Operate pumps connected to high-pressure hoses.
49%Maintain fire equipment and firehouse living quarters.
49%Transport personnel and cargo to and from fire areas.

Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders

6 of 15 at risk
88%Record operating data such as products and quantities pumped, gauge readings, and operating times, manually or using computers.
84%Verify tank car, barge, or truck load numbers to ensure car placement accuracy based on written or verbal instructions.
78%Monitor product movement to and from storage tanks, coordinating activities with other workers to ensure constant product flow.
74%Lower gauge rods into tanks or read meters to verify contents, temperatures, and volumes of liquid loads.
74%Check conditions and weights of vessels to ensure cleanliness and compliance with loading procedures.

Wage Comparison

Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders earns -$1,460(-2%) vs Forest Firefighters
Forest FirefightersTank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders
10th
$34,490$38,260
25th
$44,180$47,260
Median
$59,530$58,070
75th
$77,410$71,230
90th
$101,330$88,120

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Forest Firefighters2028–2035
Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Forest Firefighters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Forest Firefighters

$47,029

from $59,530

Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders

$35,144

from $58,070

After adjusting for AI risk, Forest Firefighters offers $11,885 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Forest

0

Unique to Tank

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Forest FirefightersTank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders
Find transitions from Forest FirefightersFind transitions from Tank Car, Truck, and Ship Loaders