Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricForging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticLathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score35.5%39.5%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile67th79th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 136 / 15
Median Salary$49,240$48,620
Employment9K19K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Production and Processing
Controlling Machines and Processes
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Processing Information
Performing General Physical Activities
Design
Documenting/Recording Information
Engineering and Technology
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

26%

total discount

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

3 of 13 at risk
84%Read work orders or blueprints to determine specified tolerances and sequences of operations for machine setup.
80%Start machines to produce sample workpieces, and observe operations to detect machine malfunctions and to verify that machine setups conform to specifications.
61%Measure and inspect machined parts to ensure conformance to product specifications.
49%Position and move metal wires or workpieces through a series of dies that compress and shape stock to form die impressions.
49%Set up, operate, or tend presses and forging machines to perform hot or cold forging by flattening, straightening, bending, cutting, piercing, or other operations to taper, shape, or form metal.

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

6 of 15 at risk
88%Compute unspecified dimensions and machine settings, using knowledge of metal properties and shop mathematics.
86%Study blueprints, layouts or charts, and job orders for information on specifications and tooling instructions, and to determine material requirements and operational sequences.
86%Select cutting tools and tooling instructions, according to written specifications or knowledge of metal properties and shop mathematics.
85%Program computer numerical control machines.
74%Inspect sample workpieces to verify conformance with specifications, using instruments such as gauges, micrometers, and dial indicators.

Wage Comparison

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic earns -$620(-1%) vs Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticLathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
10th
$35,150$36,200
25th
$41,350$41,180
Median
$49,240$48,620
75th
$59,270$58,100
90th
$69,540$65,450

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
20242030203520402045

Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$31,770

from $49,240

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$29,391

from $48,620

After adjusting for AI risk, Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic offers $2,379 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Forging

0

Unique to Lathe

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticLathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic