Takeover Tracker
37%medium risk
Gem and Diamond Workers
vs

23 shared · 16 different

core competencies

26%medium risk
Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricGem and Diamond WorkersShoe and Leather Workers and Repairers
Risk Score36.8%26.4%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile72th23th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)10 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$49,140$35,950
Employment23K8K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Near Vision
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Thinking Creatively
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Visual Color Discrimination
Flexibility of Closure
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Production and Processing
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Arm-Hand Steadiness
Finger Dexterity
Quality Control Analysis

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Gem and Diamond Workers

25%

total discount

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers

20%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Gem and Diamond Workers

10 of 15 at risk
86%Assign polish, symmetry, and clarity grades to stones, according to established grading systems.
86%Identify and document stones' clarity characteristics, using plot diagrams.
63%Sort rough diamonds into categories based on shape, size, color, and quality.
61%Measure sizes of stones' bore holes and cuts to ensure adherence to specifications, using precision measuring instruments.
55%Examine diamonds or gems to ascertain the shape, cut, and width of cut stones, or to select the cuts that will result in the biggest, best quality stones.

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers

3 of 15 at risk
86%Estimate the costs of requested products or services such as custom footwear or footwear repair, and receive payment from customers.
57%Cut out parts, following patterns or outlines, using knives, shears, scissors, or machine presses.
51%Align and stitch or glue materials such as fabric, fleece, leather, or wood, to join parts.
49%Place shoes on lasts to remove soles and heels, using knives or pliers.
49%Clean and polish shoes.

Wage Comparison

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers earns -$13,190(-27%) vs Gem and Diamond Workers
Gem and Diamond WorkersShoe and Leather Workers and Repairers
10th
$33,890$25,170
25th
$38,030$29,400
Median
$49,140$35,950
75th
$63,210$41,400
90th
$81,610$48,090

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Gem and Diamond Workers2028–2035
Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Gem and Diamond Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Gem and Diamond Workers

$31,037

from $49,140

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers

$26,445

from $35,950

After adjusting for AI risk, Gem and Diamond Workers offers $4,592 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Gem

0

Unique to Shoe

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Gem and Diamond WorkersShoe and Leather Workers and Repairers
Find transitions from Gem and Diamond WorkersFind transitions from Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers